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List Moderator:                     Published by:
Adam Audette                          LED Digest
adam, led-digest.com     http://www.led-digest.com
..............................................
November 7, 2006                    Issue no. 2283
..............................................


            .....IN THIS DIGEST.....
                

====== NEW =====================

        --== Web Accelerator and Traffic Stats ==--

                ~ Shaun Johnston
"Google's new accelerator threatens to invalidate
all traffic data."

        --== Shopping Wish List Feature ==--

                ~ A. Brantley
"Any suggestions on free or reasonably priced
software to use?"


==== CONTINUING =================

        --== Click Fraud ==--

                ~ David Yancey
"...the sooner all this search and PPC dirty laundry
gets washed publicly...the better for all of us..."

                ~ Derek Andrews
"They let too many sites into the Adsense network
who don't have genuine and original content..."

        --== Strategic Web Marketing ==--

                ~ Al Toman
"...promotion is where the client should
intend to budget / spend their money."


==== BILLBOARD ===================

        --== New Browsers ==--
                ~ Brad Waller

        --== What are You Doing with AJAX? ==--
                ~ Rohit Sinha
                <Moderator Comment>


========== NEW ===================================

From: Shaun Johnston
Subject: Google's New Accelerator

Google's new accelerator threatens to invalidate all traffic data.
The accelerator pre-fetches web pages to your browser so, when you
click on links, pages will appear immediately. It means a lot of
pages will be prefetched that are never viewed. And since Google
will deliver many of these pages from cache, a lot of pages will be
viewed for which there is no log entry. Do I have that right?

Here's an extract from
http://webaccelerator.google.com/webmasterhelp.html#prefetch1

----------------------------
"Prefetch requests include an "x-moz: prefetch" HTTP header.
Websites can choose to filter out prefetch requests in their server
statistics, as well as reject prefetch requests, which would cause
the request to be sent only when a user actually clicks on a link.

5. What is the impact of prefetching on a website?

- User experience: Prefetching can make the page download when a
users clicks on a link close to instantaneous.

- Traffic: Prefetching can increase the overall load on a website.
However, thanks to the Google Web Accelerator cache, if a website's
caching rules are well defined, this additional load can be minimal.

- Statistics: If prefetch requests aren't filtered out in the web
logs due to the "x-moz: prefetch" header, prefetch requests may be
perceived as actual user page view.

You can also configure your server to refuse prefetch requests by
returning a 403 HTTP response code for requests which include an
"x-moz: prefetch" header."
----------------------------

I can keep my log file records intact for PPC charging by sending
403 codes, or by adding a parameter to every page URL. But my sites
will load slower than those of sites that don't depend on log files
or web metrics.

Cheers,

Shaun Johnston


-------- new post - new topic --------

From: A. Brantley
Subject: Wish List Feature for Shoppers

We need a wish list that will work independently of our shopping
cart. Any suggestions on free or reasonably priced software to use?

Thanks for your help.

ABrantley


======== CONTINUING ===============================

From: David Yancey
Subject: Click fraud

Michael Motherwell writes in LED #2280:

> If we want a "solution" to click fraud, when need to
> know what that looks like, and then go get it. So let's
> hear some proactive ideas and means. Otherwise,
> click fraud is just, IMHO, more noise...

and:

> ... the greatest risk to the profits of Google et al is
> not click fraud, but the perception of click fraud.

Clickfraud isn't being *perceived* as a major flaw in the search
industry's PPC products, it *is* a major flaw, as is rapidly coming
to light.  Whether SEMs like Mr. Motherwell and others who defend
Google's and its peers' business practices like it or not, click
fraud is most certainly a smoldering threat to the PPC-based
business model, and hence a threat to the continuing growth of
internet-based marketing services.

Suggesting that responsible media like Business Week and the New
York Times are making the problem worse by doing their job of
informing the business and general public about the problem is the
oldest argument in the world for deflecting serious investigative
journalism and independent research from the hidden affairs and data
of big companies and institutions.  Those who make this claim, as
Mr. Motherwell does, simply help persuade webmasters, online
publishers, and internet advertisers that, indeed, Google et al must
have stuff under the search rug that won't bear the light of
objective observation.

To investigate and report a major business problem isn't compounding
it, but helping others to mobilize to correct it.

As to the business risk to Google's market cap, and, by association,
that of other major internet search-based firms, if and when it is
demonstrated that the earnings of Google and its PPC brethren are
based on non-delivery of advertising value, then the size of the
problem is easy to measure: if 10% of G's revenues and earnings are
based on fraudulent, scammed clicks, it means that G's present
market value is overstated by about US$15 billion.  If the number
proves to be 20%, it's a US$30 billion dollar problem.  So yes, it
is a serious issue and problem, but happily, like similar economic
anomalies, it will self-correct sooner or later.

My central point, which Mr. Motherwell seems to have missed or
ignored, is that the sooner all this search and PPC dirty laundry
gets washed publicly, and the sooner the search industry learns it
doesn't need to rely in part on scammed or other fraudulent
revenues, the better off all of us who work and publish online will
be, since confidence in the superior advantages of online
advertising can be restored.

So, efforts to pooh-pooh clickfraud fears notwithstanding,  I'll
certainly be posting updates on this major industry scandal and
problem as I find them.  If these updates about updates cause some
website operators to question what their SEM consultant or Google
sales rep or the like is telling them about PPC, well, I see no harm
in that.

Finally, after warning repeatedly that the fear of clickfraud is
worse than the disease of clickfraud, Michael piously tells us:

> I firmly believe in and want click fraud to be handled
> transparently and fairly, and I hope everyone tries to
> keep that goal in sight, and not concern themselves
> with fears that are irrelevant...

Great, Michael -- me too!  My problem is that you have yet to show
how any of the issues I and others are raising about clickfraud are
"irrelevant".  But no problem: I think we can safely assume that Ben
Edelman of Harvard and the serious experts assisting his and other
independent efforts to stop this newest form of web-based
scumbaggery will be "transparent and fair".  You may wish to direct
your sermonette about transparency and fairness instead to the
operators of Google and their peers, who have shown no evidence of
intent to be transparent about this issue, much less of being fair
to those spending billions of advertising dollars on their PPC
services.

Michael also asks me to define an invalid click. Sorry,  Michael,
that's not my job.  You can doubtless find dozens of debates
elsewhere on that question.  Or ask Google to cough up their data
long enough for the experts to answer your question. With over forty
years of systems programming, network development, and computer
services marketing and general management, I don't waste time doing
the job of much more competent technical folks and researchers.

When I have a moment, however, I'll be happy to post (again) on our
specific experience.

But LED isn't about wordy rants or our specific experience with PPC
-- it's about what we can rationally advise webmasters to do right
*now*.

This publication is for the readers, so they can learn how to get
the maximum performance out of their limited promotional budget.
PPC may or may not be the way.  But over-priced PPC very likely
isn't the best choice.

David Yancey
http://www.tootoographic.com


-------- new post - same topic --------

From: Derek Andrews
Subject: Clickfraud

> Even after eliminating any non-Mozilla browsers and
> any browser with "bot" in the name, some long sessions
> have many intervals between page-accesses of less
> than 5 seconds. Clearly not a human being surfing.
        - Shaun Johnston, LED Digest 2282
        - http://www.led-digest.com/content/view/1313/55/

Not necessarily so. I often land on website, quickly decide which
links I want to follow, open them in new tabs, and then finish
reading the landing page while the others open in the background. I
quite often leave multiple tabs open for hours until I get back to
them. I wonder what that looks like in the stats?

> Actually, Google is very active in detecting this type
> of activity. When we first signed up for AdSense years
> ago, I saw an ad for a service I was interested in on
> our site so I clicked.  I got an email within a day
> informing me that they had detected this click...
        - Brad Waller, LED Digest 2282

That has never happened to me. Not that I do it often, but
occasionally I will come across something new that I really do need
to check out. It seems inevitable that if I write content I am
knowledgeable about, and Google serves up relevant ads, that a high
proportion will be of interest to me.

> Just yesterday I got 10% of my clicks for free. But looking at
> one keyword for October, I was charged for 391 clicks, but my
> stats show I got 681 visits. Another had charges for 427 clicks
> and I recorded 578 visits. This implies Google is not charging
> for all clicks, and I am assuming that these are the ones
> being screened for fraud.

Those are alarmingly high numbers. I interpret this as saying

- Google isn't very good at stopping Adsense service to fraudulent
sites.

- They let too many sites into the Adsense network who don't have
genuine and original content, ie they are there solely for the
purposes of converting organic search into PPC, something that
Google may not be too fond of stopping.

- They are over sensitive to the issue. There is potentially a
negative to this in that Adsense users may not be getting credited
for their fair share of the clicks they provide.

Derek Andrews, woodturner

http://www.seafoamwoodturning.com
http://chipshop.blogspot.com  - a blog for my customers

<Moderator Comment>

I want to point out something obvious that hasn't been mentioned yet

Because of the work I do, over the course of a week I'll access the
Web via several different networks (all wireless but one). I usually
have my laptop, but sometimes I use another computer or handheld. It
would be ridiculously easy to click on my own AdSense listings from
these different networks and never be traced. Granted, doing this
repeatedly would raise a red flag, but I'm sure I could get away
with it for awhile.

But as Barry Mills said last week, I'm not sure this type of fraud
matters *that much* because it's always going to be tiny compared to
the kind of clickfraud that's reportedly happening from botnets and
such.

-Adam


-------- new post - new topic ---------

From: Al Toman
Subject: Business Strategy

> I like to summarize this by saying, "It's not WEB Marketing;
> it's MARKETING on the Web."  From that perspective, I state
> a simple model of the five factors... Strategic Planning,
> Content, Design, Technology and Promotion
        - Michael Linehan, LED Digest 2278
        - http://www.led-digest.com/content/view/1297/55/

A good supplement to Mr. Linehan's post is the interactive business
planner provided by the People of Canada located at:
http://www.cbsc.org/ibp

Strategic Planning:

Firstly, the client has to have some idea what s/he wants the web
site to do (objectives, goal) to achieve their ultimate goal.

The ultimate goal may be to suppliment the sales of his / her
existing shoppe of which the web site goal may be 1) increase the
marketing radius, customer base, 2) expedite sales electronically
(versus taking orders over the phone), 3) provide an extended
linecard for his / her on-road sales personnel.

In each case, the "design" of the web site is different.

The ultimate goal may be to provide information (where to get your
flu shots this year; vote for me; how to quit smoking; etc) of which
the sales of goods is secondary (sponsored links) if at all.

This requires a totally different web site "design".

Strategy is dynamic.  What the client first thinks, may not be what
the reality is until the homework is completed.  Strategy changes or
flexes throughout the process, beyond the final and published
"designed" web site.

Depending on these objectives and goals, the client needs to think
about who makes up their targeted audience.  Then, where are these
targets (on the W.W.W.).  What is their demographics?  How do they
search?  Where do they search?  How do they (like to) interact with
web pages?

Once the client has mapped a route, the client should secure a
domain, a web host, and immediately publish a single page web site
to gain longevity, become indexed, establish their major keywords,
and generate an interested party email "subscribe" base.

Content:

Before any work can be accomplished, the tools and materials need to
be gathered.  In this case, the materials is the content and the
tools include but are not inclusive of 1) the people and 2) the
scripts.

First, we all know that content has to be placed on the blank web
pages.  It all needs to be organized and keyword tested.  The client
knows their business best.  The web designer, if outsourced, needs
to learn the client's business.  This is achieved through content
and discussion. Content consists of the organization's name, logo,
slogans, colors, personality, location, products, and services, to
name a few.

Some of the content will stick, some will be excluded.

The tools may include cameras, video cameras, audio recorders,
graphic design artists, HTML, XHTML, XML, RSS, PHP, MySQL, RDF,
Java, Javascript, SWF Flash, and the like.

Some tools will be used, others not.

Design:

Once all of the above is laid out and digested, the design pretty
much falls into place.  This includes the client's personal querks
(that often cause web designers to cringe).

Technology:

I choose not to categorize technology as does Mr. Linehan.  It, in
my opinion, comes with the desgin, the web designer, the web design
team.  However, it is included above as tools.

This is because the technology plays in the back of one's mind
whilst speaking with the client, "Okay, we'll need to throw some
flash in here, we'll need the web site to be viewed in cell phones,
we'll need a secure data base, etc, etc".

Promotion:

Though listed lastly, promotion begins in the planning stages (who
are my viewers, how do I get them to view my web site, where are
these viewers now on the W.W.W., etc)  which leads to researching
and making lists of directories, online publications, industry
related ezines, forums, and link partners.

The rest of promotion is out of my expertise and I leave that up to
Mr. Linehan.  However, it appears to me, today, that promotion is
where the client should intend to budget / spend their money.  This
is unfortunate but real and costs us as consumers.

Management:

This has been left out of Mr. Linehan's 5-point list, the best that
I can tell.  It is often stated as "maintenance".  Once the web site
is design-built and published, the fun begins.  That is, if the web
site is at all dynamic (not just a line card with a non-working
phone number and email address).

Al Toman
studio9.ws


==== BILLBOARD ===================================

From: Brad Waller
Subject: New browsers

The browster stats from W3Schools was interesting, but way off from
everything I have seen published.  They do not explain how they get
their data, but I assume it is from their own site, which is likely
biased by the users who frequent it.

I use HitsLink for analytics and they have a page that not only
shows my browser data, but total across all 40,000 sites they track,
which is much more accurate of what is happening. This is the data
for the total market they track and our own site for October 2006:

Browser Market          EPage.com

IE (all)        81.28%     84.01%
Firefox         12.96%    11.94%
Safari           3.93%      1.99%
Netscape      0.83%       1.13%
Opera          0.61%       0.46%
Mozilla         0.24%       0.30%

OS              Market          EPage.com

Windows XP      84.62%        85.32%
Windows 2K        5.79%        5.96%
Mac OS              4.09%        2.35%
Windows 98        2.04%        3.16%
MacIntel             1.12%        0.48%
Windows ME        0.96%        1.38%
Windows NT        0.75%        0.45%
Linux                 0.39%        0.60%

You can read their historical data from their site:
http://marketshare.hitslink.com/

Brad Waller

Manage and Sell your own site advertising
http://adjungle.com
waller, adjungle.com


-------- new post - new topic ---------

From: Rohit Sinha
Subject: Ajax

> What are you doing with Ajax, is it as good as the hype?
        - John Smart, LED Digest 2279
        - http://www.led-digest.com/content/view/1298/55/

One use that I can think of is a contact form on a web page or a
comment form on blogs. If you use AJAX to both load and submit the
form, the page's HTML won't contain the code for the form, so bots
won't be able to access it. Should help reduce some spam.

I haven't given it too much thought though. Just something that came
to my mind while I was reading John's post and thinking about what I
could do with AJAX that goes beyond the coolness factor and is
actually useful. I would like to know what others think of it. It's
quite possible that my suggestion above is plain stupid. It's also
possible that someone has already done this and I have been living
in my cave for far too long.

I myself haven't done any advanced stuff with AJAX yet, but I have
created a small portfolio viewer for my designs and also for
showcasing some of my pre-designed templates (neither of these are
live yet, and will go live once I finish the redesign of my site and
upload the new pages). My little SBI! site will have AJAX. Cool! :-)
And they say you can only have static pages with SBI! Bah! I can't
have my own database with my SBI! site, but I can sure store stuff
in an XML file, which is good enough for my modest needs.

I am also thinking of (but haven't implemented yet) comment forms at
the bottom of articles on my sites. Upon clicking the "Click here to
provide feedback on this article" link (OK, OK, the "Click here to
provide feedback on this article" link), the form will load via AJAX
and then get submitted via AJAX as well. This is essentially the
same thing as my suggestion above. I just thought of this too, while
writing this post.

I think AJAX will be most useful where used in ways that don't
disrupt the visitors' expectations about how the page is going to
work. Maybe give their expectations a little nudge, though. That's
how progress is made. By nudging others and feeling your own way
ahead.

Does anyone have any ideas on how to nudge people's expectations of
a web page?

Regards,

Rohit Sinha

<Moderator Comment>

One pretty cool application of AJAX is Google Analytics. It's a
nifty site tracking service for those not using it (you should be).
Stats, graphs, user data, cross segment stuff, etc is all available
in real-time. It is the best use of AJAX I've seen yet - really
useful Web app.

One funny / random side-effect of the programming on Analytics is
that I can type in anything I want for headings and most labels. So
for example, on a graph of unique visitors and total pageviews,
right at the top I can replace "Visits and Pageviews" with "Visits
in millions, Pageviews in billions" or something like that. There
are all sorts of places you can do this. Totally useless, but pretty
humorous.

I took a screenshot to show you what I mean. An executive summary of
traffic by college football team loyalty!
http://www.led-digest.com/images/stories/analytics_screen.png

-Adam


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